$\textbf{Mafia}$

You are captured by a mafia. He puts two bullets in adjacent chambers of a standard $6$-chamber revolver. Then he points the gun at your head, and pulls the trigger. You survives. He thinks you may be a lucky man and thus promises to free you if you can survive the second shot. Meanwhile, he also gives you the option to re-spin the revolver before he pulls the trigger again. Should you accept his offer?

$\textbf{Red Cards}$

There are $7$ cards. Two of them have both sides red, two of them have both sides black, the rest three have one side red and one side black. Joe draws one card randomly and finds one side is red, what is the probability that the other side is red too?

$\textbf{Birthday Problem}$

Statistically what is the minimum number of people among which the probability of two people having the same birthday exceeds $50\%$? How about if this probability needs to exceed $99.9\%$?

A frog sitting at the point $(1, 2)$ begins a sequence of jumps, where each jump is parallel to one of the coordinate axes and has length $1$, and the direction of each jump (up, down, right, or left) is chosen independently at random. The sequence ends when the frog reaches a side of the square with vertices $(0,0), (0,4), (4,4),$ and $(4,0)$. What is the probability that the sequence of jumps ends on a vertical side of the square?

A point is chosen at random within the square in the coordinate plane whose vertices are $(0, 0), (2020, 0), (2020, 2020),$ and $(0, 2020)$. The probability that the point is within $d$ units of a lattice point is $\tfrac{1}{2}$. (A point $(x, y)$ is a lattice point if $x$ and $y$ are both integers.) What is $d$ to the nearest tenth?

Jason rolls three fair standard six-sided dice. Then he looks at the rolls and chooses a subset of the dice (possibly empty, possibly all three dice) to reroll. After rerolling, he wins if and only if the sum of the numbers face up on the three dice is exactly $7$. Jason always plays to optimize his chances of winning. What is the probability that he chooses to reroll exactly two of the dice?

Randomly draw a card twice with replacement from $1$ to $10$, inclusive. What is the probability that the product of these two cards is a multiple of $7$?